BTO Application Rates: Every Project From October 2025 to June 2026, by Applicant Group
HDB's final application rates for the October 2025, February 2026 and June 2026 BTO exercises, project by project and applicant group by applicant group. What a rate means, why singles and second-timers face the steepest odds, how ballot chances and quotas work, and when results come out.
A BTO application rate is the number of applications in a group for each flat set aside for that group, published by HDB for each town and flat type for first-timer families, second-timer families, seniors and first-timer singles. From October 2025 to June 2026, HDB's median rate for first-timer families applying for 3-room and bigger flats was 0.9 to 1.9, for second-timer families 14.3 to 15.9, and for first-timer singles applying for 2-room Flexi flats 7.3 to 7.8. First-timer families get 2 or 3 ballot chances (up to 5 after repeated unsuccessful Standard applications), and HDB emails applicants to check their ballot result on the HDB Flat Portal within 2 months of the application period closing.
HDB publishes an application rate for every town and flat type in a BTO exercise, split by applicant group. Read live during the application window, it is the best guide to how crowded your queue is. One headline number hides most of what matters: at Bishan Terraces' 2-room Flexi flats in October 2025, first-timer families faced 0.1 applications per flat set aside for them and singles 17.3.
This guide sets out HDB's final rates for the October 2025, February 2026 and June 2026 exercises, explains what a rate means, compares the applicant groups and the Standard, Plus and Prime classifications, and covers ballot chances, quotas, when results come out and what a queue number means. Rules are HDB's, as at 19 September 2026.
What is a BTO application rate?
It is the number of applications from a household type divided by the public flat supply set aside for that type, published by HDB for every town and flat type; projects in the same town share one rate. HDB splits it four ways: first-timer families, second-timer families, seniors and first-timer singles. A rate of 2 means about two applications for each flat your group can get.
HDB defines it exactly: "Application rates for each household type (rounded to one decimal place) = Number of applications received for that household type / Public flat supply set aside for that household type (rounded to whole number)" (HDB). HDB updates the rates "several times daily throughout the application window" (HDB), and the final figures stand as at 11:59pm on the closing day.
HDB shows the rates on the HDB Flat Portal for each exercise, split by applicant group:
- First-timer families: couples and families buying their first subsidised flat. A couple made up of a first-timer and a second-timer counts as a first-timer family (HDB).
- Second-timer families: households that have bought or received a subsidised flat or grant before.
- Seniors: for 2-room Flexi flats.
- First-timer singles: for 2-room Flexi flats (singles aged 35 and above).
A group's rate is not the chance of a flat. It tells you how crowded your queue is. Two things HDB points out put it in context: applications "include those who have applied in previous launches, some of whom may still be waiting to book a flat, which on average form about 20% of total applications", and HDB shortlists "more than 100% and potentially up to 200% of the flat supply" (HDB). A queue number beyond the supply is a place in line, not a flat. HDB's own advice is to "consider applying to projects with lower application rates, such as those with an application rate of around one or lower" (HDB).
Acting on the live rates. During the 8-day window you can move to a less crowded town or flat type by cancelling and re-applying, with another $10 fee: HDB says there is "no penalty if the flat application is cancelled during the sales exercise application period"; once the window closes, you cannot change (HDB). The next exercise is in November 2026, with about 7,960 flats (HDB).
Read the rate for your own group and flat type, not the project's headline number.
What were the BTO application rates in June 2026?
The June 2026 exercise offered 6,952 BTO flats in 7 projects and drew 23,894 applications. First-timer family rates for 4-room flats ran from 0.6 in Sembawang to 4.1 at Woodgrove Acres in Woodlands, while first-timer singles faced 4.1 to 19.3 for 2-room Flexi flats.
| Town | Project (classification) | Flat type | Flats | Applications | First-timer families | Second-timer families | Seniors | First-timer singles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ang Mo Kio | Kebun Baru Breeze (Plus) | 2-Room Flexi | 377 | 1,011 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Kebun Baru Ridge (Plus) | 3-Room | 95 | 338 | 1.4 | 24.3 | – | – |
| Ang Mo Kio | Kebun Baru Breeze + Kebun Baru Ridge (Plus) | 4-Room | 592 | 1,249 | 1.4 | 8.3 | – | – |
| Bishan | Lakeview Cascadia (Prime) | 2-Room Flexi | 476 | 2,172 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 7.9 |
| Bishan | Lakeview Cascadia (Prime) | 4-Room | 745 | 3,971 | 3.9 | 18.5 | – | – |
| Bukit Merah | Berlayar Rise (Prime) | 2-Room Flexi | 816 | 3,364 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 7.8 |
| Bukit Merah | Berlayar Rise (Prime) | 3-Room | 172 | 616 | 1.3 | 23.9 | – | – |
| Bukit Merah | Berlayar Rise (Prime) | 4-Room | 988 | 5,285 | 3.3 | 23.9 | – | – |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Portico + Sembawang Brook (Standard) | 2-Room Flexi | 461 | 1,307 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Portico + Sembawang Brook (Standard) | 3-Room | 187 | 286 | 0.7 | 5.0 | – | – |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Portico + Sembawang Brook (Standard) | 4-Room | 764 | 685 | 0.6 | 3.6 | – | – |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Portico + Sembawang Brook (Standard) | 5-Room/3Gen | 623 | 438 | 0.4 | 3.4 | – | – |
| Woodlands | Woodgrove Acres (Standard) | 2-Room Flexi | 157 | 1,131 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 19.3 |
| Woodlands | Woodgrove Acres (Standard) | 3-Room | 80 | 377 | 2.3 | 14.3 | – | – |
| Woodlands | Woodgrove Acres (Standard) | 4-Room | 162 | 832 | 4.1 | 15.0 | – | – |
| Woodlands | Woodgrove Acres (Standard) | 5-Room | 257 | 832 | 2.5 | 9.9 | – | – |
Source: HDB's final application rates for the June 2026 exercise (HDB), application window 17 to 24 June 2026. HDB groups projects in the same town and flat type in one row.
The biggest crowd was not the hardest queue: Berlayar Rise's 988 4-room flats drew 5,285 applications, yet first-timer families faced 3.3 there, against 4.1 at Woodgrove Acres' Standard 4-room flats.
What were the BTO application rates in February 2026?
The February 2026 exercise offered 4,692 BTO flats in 6 projects and drew 15,044 applications. Tampines was the pressure point: first-timer families faced 7.2 for its 4-room flats, second-timer families 39.2, and first-timer singles 117.5 for Tampines Nova's 2-room Flexi flats.
| Town | Project (classification) | Flat type | Flats | Applications | First-timer families | Second-timer families | Seniors | First-timer singles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukit Merah | Redhill Peaks (Prime) | 2-Room Flexi | 368 | 1,540 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 8.3 |
| Bukit Merah | Redhill Peaks (Prime) | 3-Room | 91 | 238 | 0.8 | 19.4 | – | – |
| Bukit Merah | Redhill Peaks (Prime) | 4-Room | 593 | 2,137 | 2.2 | 16.6 | – | – |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Deck + Sembawang Voyage (Standard) | 2-Room Flexi | 479 | 957 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 4.0 |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Deck (Standard) | 3-Room | 84 | 239 | 1.4 | 8.9 | – | – |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Deck + Sembawang Voyage (Standard) | 4-Room | 725 | 689 | 0.6 | 3.9 | – | – |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Deck + Sembawang Voyage (Standard) | 5-Room | 662 | 479 | 0.4 | 3.7 | – | – |
| Tampines | Tampines Nova (Plus) | 2-Room Flexi | 122 | 2,604 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 117.5 |
| Tampines | Tampines Bliss (Standard) | 3-Room | 80 | 565 | 3.7 | 20.7 | – | – |
| Tampines | Tampines Bliss (Standard) + Tampines Nova (Plus) | 4-Room | 337 | 3,484 | 7.2 | 39.2 | – | – |
| Toa Payoh | Kim Keat Crest (Plus) | 2-Room Flexi | 277 | 882 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 6.2 |
| Toa Payoh | Kim Keat Crest (Plus) | 3-Room | 87 | 165 | 0.6 | 14.8 | – | – |
| Toa Payoh | Kim Keat Crest (Plus) | 4-Room | 787 | 1,065 | 0.9 | 5.9 | – | – |
Source: HDB's final application rates for the February 2026 exercise (HDB), application window 4 to 11 February 2026.
In the same exercise, first-timer families applying for Sembawang's 4-room flats faced 0.6: fewer applicants than flats set aside for them.
What were the BTO application rates in October 2025?
The October 2025 exercise offered 9,144 flats in 10 projects, including the first launches at Mount Pleasant and Berlayar. For first-timer families, HDB's median rate for 3-room and bigger flats was 1.9; Mount Pleasant Crest's 4-room flats drew 3.3 and Bukit Merah's Berlayar Residences and Redhill Peaks 4-room flats 3.1.
| Town | Project (classification) | Flat type | Flats | Applications | First-timer families | Second-timer families | Seniors | First-timer singles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sengkang | Fernvale Plains (Standard) | Community Care Apartment | 207 | 152 | – | – | 0.7 | – |
| Ang Mo Kio | Oak Ville @ AMK (Plus) | 2-Room Flexi | 434 | 955 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 4.0 |
| Bedok | Ping Yi Court (Standard) | 2-Room Flexi | 194 | 1,428 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 15.8 |
| Bishan | Bishan Terraces (Prime) | 2-Room Flexi | 135 | 596 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 17.3 |
| Bukit Merah | Berlayar Residences + Redhill Peaks (Prime) | 2-Room Flexi | 737 | 2,927 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 7.4 |
| Jurong East | Teban Heights (Standard) | 2-Room Flexi | 143 | 736 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 19.7 |
| Sengkang | Fernvale Plains (Standard) | 2-Room Flexi | 100 | 1,045 | – | – | 4.2 | – |
| Toa Payoh | Mount Pleasant Crest (Prime) | 2-Room Flexi | 541 | 1,549 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.2 |
| Yishun | Chencharu Grove + Yishun Glade (Standard) | 2-Room Flexi | 639 | 1,952 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Oak Ville @ AMK (Plus) | 3-Room | 129 | 180 | 0.4 | 10.8 | – | – |
| Ang Mo Kio | Oak Ville @ AMK (Plus) | 4-Room | 862 | 998 | 0.7 | 5.6 | – | – |
| Bedok | Ping Yi Court (Standard) | 3-Room | 84 | 261 | 1.6 | 9.7 | – | – |
| Bedok | Ping Yi Court (Standard) | 4-Room | 294 | 661 | 1.7 | 7.3 | – | – |
| Bedok | Ping Yi Court (Standard) | 5-Room/3Gen | 290 | 552 | 1.1 | 8.7 | – | – |
| Bishan | Bishan Terraces (Prime) | 3-Room | 109 | 222 | 0.6 | 15.9 | – | – |
| Bishan | Bishan Terraces (Prime) | 4-Room | 294 | 1,447 | 3.5 | 18.2 | – | – |
| Bukit Merah | Berlayar Residences (Prime) | 3-Room | 86 | 442 | 1.9 | 37.1 | – | – |
| Bukit Merah | Berlayar Residences + Redhill Peaks (Prime) | 4-Room | 1,078 | 5,521 | 3.1 | 23.8 | – | – |
| Jurong East | Teban Heights (Standard) | 3-Room | 107 | 269 | 1.0 | 8.7 | – | – |
| Jurong East | Teban Heights (Standard) | 4-Room | 210 | 669 | 2.0 | 14.0 | – | – |
| Jurong East | Teban Heights (Standard) | 5-Room/3Gen | 178 | 744 | 2.1 | 24.1 | – | – |
| Sengkang | Fernvale Plains (Standard) | 4-Room | 368 | 1,382 | 2.5 | 15.0 | – | – |
| Sengkang | Fernvale Plains (Standard) | 5-Room | 362 | 1,386 | 2.4 | 17.1 | – | – |
| Toa Payoh | Mount Pleasant Crest (Prime) | 3-Room | 98 | 261 | 0.9 | 19.7 | – | – |
| Toa Payoh | Mount Pleasant Crest (Prime) | 4-Room | 709 | 3,208 | 3.3 | 15.6 | – | – |
| Yishun | Chencharu Grove (Standard) | 3-Room | 81 | 458 | 2.1 | 20.1 | – | – |
| Yishun | Chencharu Grove + Yishun Glade (Standard) | 4-Room | 439 | 1,533 | 1.8 | 19.1 | – | – |
| Yishun | Chencharu Grove (Standard) | 5-Room | 236 | 1,663 | 3.7 | 37.7 | – | – |
Source: HDB's final figures as at 11:59pm on 22 October 2025 (HDB), application window 15 to 22 October 2025. HDB published "NA" for three groups at Fernvale Plains' 2-room Flexi flats.
The headline launches were not the hardest for first-timer families: Chencharu Grove's Standard 5-room flats in Yishun drew 3.7, more than Mount Pleasant Crest's Prime 4-room flats at 3.3.
Which BTO flats are hardest to get?
For first-timer singles, every 2-room Flexi row: 4.0 to 117.5 applications per flat set aside, with HDB medians of 7.3 to 7.8. For second-timer families, every 3-room and bigger row: 3.4 to 39.2. First-timer families faced medians of 0.9 to 1.9, and 12 of their 39 rows for 3-room and bigger flats were below 1.
Your applicant group matters more than the project. HDB's own medians:
| Exercise | First-timer families, 3-room and bigger | Second-timer families, 3-room and bigger | Seniors, 2-room Flexi | First-timer singles, 2-room Flexi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2025 | 1.9 | 15.9 | 2.4 | 7.4 |
| February 2026 | 0.9 | 14.8 | 2.2 | 7.3 |
| June 2026 | 1.4 | 14.3 | 2.6 | 7.8 |
Source: the MEDIAN rows on HDB's results pages for each exercise.
And the full range, October 2025 to June 2026:
| Applicant group | Flats compared | Range, October 2025 to June 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| First-timer families | 3-room and bigger | 0.4 to 7.2 |
| Second-timer families | 3-room and bigger | 3.4 to 39.2 |
| Seniors | 2-room Flexi | 0.9 to 9.1 |
| First-timer singles | 2-room Flexi | 4.0 to 117.5 |
PropKaki summary of HDB's final rates, October 2025 to June 2026.
Classification is not the whole story. Prime 4-room rates for first-timer families were consistently high, 2.2 to 3.9, but the two hardest 4-room rows were Tampines (7.2, where HDB combined a Standard and a Plus project) and the Standard Woodgrove Acres (4.1):
| Classification | Project rows | First-timer family rates |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 7 | 0.6 to 4.1 |
| Plus | 3 | 0.7 to 1.4 |
| Prime | 6 | 2.2 to 3.9 |
HDB rates, October 2025 to June 2026; rows where HDB combined a Standard and a Plus project (Tampines, February 2026) are left out.
Why singles' rates run so high. Small 2-room Flexi batches leave singles few flats once seniors have their share. At Tampines Nova's 122 2-room Flexi flats in February 2026, seniors' floor of 100 units left about 22 for everyone else, and singles' 65% of those is about 14 flats; a rate of 117.5 means roughly 1,645 singles' applications for them (PropKaki arithmetic on HDB's quota rules). At Fernvale Plains in October 2025, the same floor would have taken all 100 2-room Flexi flats, consistent with HDB printing "NA" for the other groups.
If you are a first-timer family, a Standard project in a less popular town can put you in a queue shorter than the flats on offer.
How do quotas decide your chances?
HDB sets aside most flats for first-timer families: at least 90% of the non-senior supply of 4-room and bigger Standard flats, and of 3-room and bigger Plus and Prime flats. Second-timer families get up to 10% to 20%, depending on the flat, and seniors at least 40% of each project's 2-room Flexi flats, or 100 units if that is more.
How HDB divides BTO flats among households that are not seniors (HDB, Modes of Sale, updated 23 August 2026):
| Flats | First-timer families | Second-timer families | First-timer singles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard 2-room Flexi | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| Standard 3-room | 80% | 20% | not eligible |
| Standard 4-room and bigger | 90% | 10% | not eligible |
| Plus 2-room Flexi | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| Plus 3-room and bigger | 90% | 10% | not eligible |
| Prime 2-room Flexi | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| Prime 3-room and bigger | 90% | 10% | not eligible |
PropKaki's sums of HDB's scheme-by-scheme quotas (for example, Standard 4-room: 40% Family and Parenthood Priority Scheme, 30% Family Care Scheme (Proximity) and 20% other first-timer families). HDB's results pages give first-timer families' shares as minimums ("at least") and second-timers' and singles' as maximums ("up to").
- Seniors have "at least 40% or 100 units, whichever is higher" of each project's 2-room Flexi flats, before the split above (HDB).
- Second-timer families: "up to 20% of the public flat supply will be set aside for them"; by flat type, the table above gives them 10% to 20%.
- First-timer families can queue past their quota: they "can receive queue numbers bigger than the flat supply set aside for them" (HDB).
A low rate in a big quota is the best odds a BTO applicant gets.
How many ballot chances do you get?
First-timer parents and married couples under HDB's FT(PMC) category get 3, other first-timer families 2, and second-timer families, seniors and first-timer singles 1 each. First-timer families who have failed twice or more for a Standard flat get up to 2 more, and from the February 2027 exercise, first-timer families with or expecting children get 1 more for each citizen child aged 18 and below.
| Household | Ballot chances |
|---|---|
| First-Timer (Parents & Married Couples), FT(PMC) | 3 |
| Other first-timer families and couples | 2 |
| Second-timer families | 1 |
| Seniors | 1 |
| First-timer singles | 1 |
Source: HDB, Modes of Sale, updated 23 August 2026.
Extra chances after unsuccessful tries. First-timer families "unsuccessful in 2 or more BTO applications for a Standard flat" get 1 more chance for every later Standard application, "capped at 2 additional ballot chances"; it "does not apply to applications for Plus and Prime BTO flats". Today an FT(PMC) family can therefore reach 5 chances; HDB has not said how the per-child chances from February 2027 interact with that cap.
From February 2027: a chance per child. First-timer families "with or expecting children will receive 1 additional ballot chance for each Singapore Citizen child aged 18 and below", for all BTO and SBF applications (HDB). See our note on the per-child ballot chance.
Ballot chances weight the draw; the quota for your group decides how far the queue runs.
When do BTO results come out, and how do you check them?
HDB emails you to log in to the HDB Flat Portal and check your ballot result within 2 months after the application period closes; the timing depends on the exercise and the number of flats. If you are unsuccessful, it means you received no queue number, or the flats ran out before your number was due.
- How you hear: "You will receive an email notification to log in to the HDB Flat Portal to check the ballot results within 2 months after the application period has closed" (HDB), updated 17 August 2026.
- Why it varies: "The timeline to release the ballot results is dependent on the sales exercise and flat supply."
- Older applications: for flat applications made before May 2023, check the status on MyHDB Page.
- What "unsuccessful" means: you are "unsuccessful if you did not receive a queue number to book a flat, or the flats have all been booked before your queue number is due" (HDB).
- In practice: HDB told applicants their queue positions in December 2025 for the October 2025 exercise, in March 2026 for February 2026 and in August 2026 for June 2026 (HDB's administrative annexes). HDB gives no time of day.
Your queue number, not the ballot email, tells you how likely you are to be invited to book.
What is a good BTO queue number?
One within the flat supply for your group and flat type. HDB invites applicants to book in queue order, subject to flats remaining for their ethnic group, and you miss out if the flats are all booked before your number is due. Applicants with a queue position within the flat supply cannot apply again until their booking appointment. A number beyond it depends on people ahead of you not booking.
HDB places "all eligible applications through a computerised ballot to determine the queue order" (HDB), and invites applicants to book in that order. So:
- Within the flat supply: applicants "who have received a queue position that is within the flat supply will not be eligible to apply for a flat in subsequent sales exercises until after their flat booking appointment", "to give other applicants a chance to secure a flat" (HDB).
- Beyond it: HDB shortlists "more applicants than the available flat supply", potentially "up to 200% of the flat supply" (HDB), because some applicants ahead of you will not book. First-timer families "can receive queue numbers bigger than the flat supply set aside for them" (HDB).
- Your ethnic group: applicants are invited to book "subject to availability of flats for their ethnic group when their turn is due" (HDB, June 2026 administrative annex).
- Compare with the rate: a rate below 1 for your group means fewer applications than flats set aside for it, so every eligible applicant in that group should get a queue position within the supply. Second-timers and singles compete only for their group's share, so compare your number with that share.
Check your number against your group's share of the flats in your flat type, not against the whole exercise.
What is the biggest mistake people make with BTO applications?
Applying for a flat you are not ready to book. If you are invited to book and do not, while flats are still available, you get a non-selection count: first-timer families are treated as second-timers for a year and lose any extra ballot chances, and singles and second-timer families cannot apply in any exercise for a year.
HDB treats a skipped booking as a rejected chance: "You will incur a non-selection count and all your ongoing flat application(s) will be cancelled" (HDB).
| If you are | One non-selection count means |
|---|---|
| A first-timer family | Your next applications are "placed in the second-timer category for a 1-year period"; extra ballot chances from past unsuccessful Standard applications are set to 0 |
| A first-timer single or second-timer family | You "will not be able to participate in any sales exercises for a 1-year period" |
HDB waives the count if you had "10 or fewer BTO flats" to choose from when your turn came.
Apply only for a town and flat type you would actually book, because turning down your turn costs you a year.
Official sources
Check HDB directly for the current rates, rules and your own application.
Methodology and sources
Where every figure comes from, and what we deliberately did not claim.
Official figures. Every application rate, flat count, application total and median is HDB's: from its final application-rate files for the February 2026 and June 2026 exercises (both marked final), and its results page for the October 2025 exercise (as at the close, 22 October 2025), whose flat counts match that launch's price list. Quotas and ballot chances are from HDB's Modes of Sale page (updated 23 August 2026); results timing, queue rules and the non-selection count from HDB's Application page (updated 17 August 2026). All read on 19 September 2026.
Our analysis. The ranges by applicant group, the count of rows with a first-timer family rate below 1, the comparison by classification and the quota sums are PropKaki's arithmetic on HDB's figures. Rows for 2-room Flexi flats are left out of the family comparisons because few families apply for them. How we work: PropKaki methodology.
What we have not claimed: your chance of a flat in a future exercise, which depends on the flats offered and who applies; or any queue number's outcome. This is a practical explainer, not legal or financial advice. Check hdb.gov.sg before you rely on it.
Got a question this raised? Ask PropKaki.
Take any point from this analysis and apply it to your own project, budget or decision.
PropKakiFor most buyers this year, staying well within budget beats trying to time the market.